# Sahel Region ## BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front) The Sahel — the semi-arid belt stretching from Senegal to Sudan — has become the primary geopolitical battleground for great power competition in Africa, hybrid warfare by proxy, and the collapse of post-colonial Francophone security architecture. Between 2020 and 2023, a cascade of military coups in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger expelled French forces, terminated ECOWAS cooperation, and invited [[Wagner Group (Africa Corps)]] and Russian influence in their place. The region now represents a direct test of competing models of security partnership: Western counter-terrorism frameworks vs. Russian mercenary-for-sovereignty exchange. --- ## Key States | Country | Government | Foreign Partner | Status | |---|---|---|---| | Mali | CNSP junta (Goïta) | Russia / Africa Corps | Expelled France (2022); left ECOWAS (2024) | | Burkina Faso | CPJPS junta (Traoré) | Russia / Africa Corps | Expelled French forces; left ECOWAS (2024) | | Niger | CNSP junta (Tiani) | Russia / Africa Corps | Expelled US + French forces (2024); left ECOWAS | | Chad | Déby Jr. (transitional) | France (partial) | Complex; France maintains some presence | | Mauritania | Ghazouani | West-leaning | Relatively stable | | Senegal | Faye/Sonko coalition | West-leaning | Democratic transition 2024 | --- ## Strategic Significance 1. **Great power competition:** Russia's Africa Corps displacement of French Barkhane and US AFRICOM forward presence represents direct geopolitical penetration of a historically Western sphere 2. **Mineral resources:** Niger (uranium — ~7% of global supply; critical for French nuclear power), Mali (gold), Burkina Faso (gold, manganese) 3. **Migration corridors:** Sahel instability drives migration flows toward Mediterranean — direct political leverage over European governments 4. **Jihadist insurgency:** JNIM (al-Qaeda affiliate) and ISGS (Islamic State) continue to hold territory and conduct operations despite (or enabled by) the security vacuum --- ## Key Actors - **Regional:** [[Wagner Group (Africa Corps)]], JNIM, ISGS, ECOWAS - **External powers:** [[Russian Federation]], [[France]], [[United States Africa Command]], [[China]] (infrastructure) - **Multilateral:** UN MINUSMA (withdrawn 2023) --- ## Key Connections - [[01 Actors & Entities/12_Non-State_Actors/Wagner Group 🏴‍☠️]] - [[02 Concepts & Tactics/Hybrid Warfare]] - [[02 Concepts & Tactics/Proxy Warfare]] - [[04 Current Crisis/]] - [[02 Concepts & Tactics/Great Power Competition]] --- ## Sources 1. ACLED — Sahel conflict tracker (2020–2025) 2. ISS Africa — AES Alliance formation analysis 3. Crisis Group — Sahel coup cascade reporting